Impact of Unemployment on Economic Growth in Nigeria: Bound Test and ARDL Approach
Keywords:
Unemployment; Economic Growth; Bound Test; ARDL; NigeriaAbstract
This study examined the impact of unemployment on economic growth in Nigeria. And based on the literature reviewed, the identified gaps were found in the scope, appropriate control variables and estimation techniques for the robustness of the findings. Data was sourced from the publications of World Bank-World Development Indicator, International Labour Organisation and Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN Statistical Bulletin) from 1980 – 2019 and various diagnostic tests such as Unit Roots and Bound Tests were carried out. Consequently, ARDL model was utilized to address the objective of this study. It was found out that unemployment had a positive and significant impact on economic growth both in the short run and in the long run. Furthermore, based on the findings, the paper recommended the introduction of programmes and policies that will promote enabling business environment to enable the teeming unemployed population to contribute to economic growth in Nigeria.
References
Adebayo, A. (1999). Youth unemployment and the national directorate of employment self-employment programmes. The Nigerian Journal of Economics and Social Studies, 41(1), 81-104.
Adelowokan, O. A., Maku, O. E., Babasanya, A. O., & Adesoye, A. B. (2019). Unemployment, poverty and economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics & Management, 35, 5-17.
Akeju K. F. & Olanipeun D. B. (2014). Unemployment and economic growth in Nigeria. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development.
Akutson, S., Messiah, A. J. & Aray, Y. D. (2018). The impact of unemployment on economic growth in Nigeria: An application of Autoregressive Distributed Lag. Sumerianz Journal of Business Management and Marketing, Sumerianz Publication, 1(2).
Broadberry, S. N. (1983). Unemployment in interwar Britain: a disequilibrium approach. Oxford Economic Papers, 35(3), 463-485.
Englama, A. (2001). Unemployment: Concepts and issues. Bullion Publication of the Central Bank of Nigeria.
Erumebor, W. (2021). Review of the Nigerian Economy in 2020 and Key Priorities for 2021 and Beyond. Economic and Policy Review, 19.
Falae O. (1971), Manpower and unemployment research in Africa. Published by Labour, Capital & Society.
Jibir, A., Bappayaya, B., & Babayo, H. (2015). Re-examination of the impact of unemployment on economic growth of Nigeria: An econometric approach. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development, 6(8), 116-123.
Karmel P.H. & Polasek, M. (1980). Applied statistics for economists.
Makaringe, S. C., & Khobai, H. (2018). The effect of unemployment on economic growth in South Africa (1994-2016).
National Bureau of Statistics. (2020). Nigeria Poverty, Unemployment & Economic Growth Profile. Annual report. Abuja, Nigeria
Njoku, A. C., & Ihugba, O. A. (2011). Unemployment and Nigerian economic growth (1985-2009). Mediterranean Journal of Social Sciences.
Noor, Z. M., Nor, N. M., & Ghani, J. A. (2007). The relationship between output and unemployment in Malaysia: Does Okun’s law exist. International Journal of Economics and Management.
Nwosa, P. I. (2016). Impact of macroeconomic policies on poverty and unemployment rates in Nigeria, implications for attaining inclusive growth. Acta Universitatis Danubius. Œconomica.
Obasanmi, J., & Akinrogunde, A. (2022). Causal Relationship between Unemployment and Economic Growth in Nigeria. Sau Journal of Management and Social Sciences.
Onah, F. O. (2001). Urban unemployment situation in Nigeria. Issues in urbanization and urban administration in Nigeria, 154-167.
Orkar, O. M. D., & Shaminja, T. S. (2019). Emerging Trends in Nigeria’s National Security: An Appraisal. International Academy Journal of Administration, Education and Society
Özel, H. A., Sezgin, F. H., & Topkaya, Ö. (2013). Investigation of economic growth and unemployment relationship for G7 Countries using panel regression analysis. International Journal of Business and Social Science, 4(6).
Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of applied econometrics, 16(3), 289-326.
Pesaran, M. & Pesaran, B. (1997). Microfit 4.0 (windows version). New York: Oxford University Press Inc.
United Nations. (2015). Report of the world summit for social development. Copenhagen March 2015.
Vatter, J. (2012). Well-being in Germany: GDP and unemployment still matter. RatSWD Working Paper Series of the German Data Forum, No. 196.
Zagler, M. (2003). A Vector Correction Model of Economic Growth and Unemployment in Major European Countries and an Analysis of Okun's Law. Applied Econometrics and International Development, 3(3).
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2023 Olayemi Henry Omotayo, Olukayode Emmanuel Maku, Oluwaseyi Adedayo Adelowokan
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
The author fully assumes the content originality and the holograph signature makes him responsible in case of trial.