Does Fiscal Policy Affect Economic Growth in Nigeria?

Authors

  • Betty Alli-Momoh Oluwayemisi
  • Rotimi Oladele
  • Olaniyan Niyi Oladipo mr
  • Babatunde Afolabi
  • Samuel Adesanya Timilehin

Abstract

This study examined the impact of fiscal policy on Nigeria's economic growth from 1981 to 2022, covering a 41-year period. The research investigated the effects of government recurrent expenditure, government capital expenditure, and tax revenue on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), a proxy for economic growth. Using secondary data from reputable sources, the study employs an ex-post facto research design and purposive sampling technique to analyze the relationship between fiscal policy and economic growth. The findings revealed a complex relationship between government expenditures, tax policies, and economic growth outcomes in Nigeria. Contrary to expectations, government recurrent expenditure had a positive effect on economic growth, while government capital expenditure had a negative effect. Tax revenue also had a negative effect on economic growth. These findings have significant implications for policymakers, researchers, and stakeholders interested in understanding the impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Nigeria. The study contributes to the existing body of knowledge on fiscal policy and economic growth, providing actionable insights for data-driven policy decisions to foster sustained economic growth, development, and prosperity in Nigeria.

References

Adegboyo, O. S.; Keji, S. A. & Fasina, O. T. (2021). The impact of government policies on Nigeria economic growth. Future Business Journal, 7(5), pp. 1-12.

Adeniyi, O.; Omotosho, B. S. & Akanbi, T. A. (2020). Monetary policy and economic growth nexus in Nigeria: A time series analysis. Journal of Applied Economic Sciences, 15(3), pp. 59-68.

Alabi, J. O. & Olarinde, M. O. (2020). Fiscal policy and economic growth in Nigeria: An empirical investigation. Journal of Economics and Management, 38(2), pp. 10-26.

Aliyu, S. B.; Ndagwakwa, D. W.; Zirra, S. S.; Salam, & Mohammed (2020). The examination of the impact of fiscal policy on economic performance in Nigeria between 1981 and 2016.

Aluthge, C.; Jibir, A. & Abdu, M. (2021). Impact of government expenditure on economic growth in Nigeria, 1970-2019. CBN Journal of Applied Statistics, 12(1), pp. 139-174.

Banton, C. & Boyle, M. (2020). Neoclassical growth theory.

Bosco, I. & Umeokwobi, R. (2019). Fiscal operations and the growth of the Nigerian economy. African Development Review, 13(1), pp. 46–81.

Chinedu, A.; Okafor, A. R. & Igbo-Anozie, U. A. (2022). Impact of fiscal policy on economic growth in Nigeria: An approach of time series econometric model. International Journal of Advanced Multidisciplinary Research and Studies, 2(1), pp. 1-20.

Cookey, B. C. & Okorie, S. (2020). Fiscal policy and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, 4(4), pp. 1-12.

Cynthia, C. & Itode, J. (2018). Fiscal policy on macroeconomic performance in Nigeria. International Journal of Advanced Academic Research. Social and Management Sciences, 4(12), pp. 33-51.

Dikeogu, C. C. & Itode, J. K. (2018). Fiscal policy and macroeconomic performance in Nigeria. International Journal of Advanced Academic Research. Social and Management Sciences, 4(3), pp. 3-45.

Dumisani, P. (2022). The effectiveness of fiscal policy on economic growth in South Africa: An empirical analysis. International Journal of Management Research and Economics, 2(1), pp. 1-14.

Ezeaku, H. C.; Nwanna, G. O. & Okafor, R. E. (2020). Fiscal policy and unemployment rate in Nigeria: An autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing approach. American Journal of Economics, 10(2), pp. 98-108.

Idebi, A. & Adesina-Uthman, A. (2022). A critical evaluation of the implications of fiscal policy on economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and Financial Management, 2(2), pp. 1-17.

Ikechi Kanu Success, Amu Christian Ugwueze, & Afolayan Segun Matthew. (2022). Fiscal policy tools and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Innovation and Economic Development, 8(5), pp. 25-43.

Ikeora, M. J. (2017). Monetary theory and policy in a developing economy. Cape Publisher International Ltd.

Ishola, V. & Titiloye, T. (2020). Effect of fiscal policy and monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria: A time series analysis, 1(2), pp. 33-46.

Jeffrey, M. S. (2019). Fiscal policy: Economic effects. Congressional Research Service.

Levine, R. & Zervos, S. (2016). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American Economic Review, 88(2), pp. 537-558.

Morakinyo, F. O.; David, J. O. & Alao, J. A. (2018). Impact of fiscal policy instrument on economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Economics and Financial Management, 3(1), pp. 14-29.

Nuraini, H. (2019). Qualified economic growth as an indicator of economic development. Jurnal Ekonomi Pembangunan Kajian Masalah Ekonomi dan Pembangunan, 20(1), pp. 11-31.

Nwanne, T. F. I. (2014). Implication of savings and investment on economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Small Business and Entrepreneurship Research, 2(4), pp. 74-86.

Nwogwugwu, U. C.; Metu, A. G. & Ihugba, O. A. (2021). Do disaggregated manufacturing sectors matter in Nigeria’s economic growth: VECM approach? Journal of Economics and International Finance, 13(2), pp. 85-99.

Obwona, M. B. (2021). Determinants of FDI and their impact on economic growth in Uganda. African Development Review, 13(1), pp. 46–81.

Ogundipe, A. A. & Akinbobola, T. O. (2020). An appraisal of monetary policy on economic growth in Nigeria. Asian Economic and Financial Review, 10(7), pp. 765-774.

Ohadoma, H. I. (2018). Effects of domestic savings and investments on economic stability in Nigeria: 1980-2016. (Unpublished master’s thesis). Department of Banking and Finance, Ebonyi State University, Abakaliki, Nigeria.

Okedina, I. N.; Awolaja, O. G.; Binuyo, B. O. & Oluwatoyin, O. (2019). Fiscal policy and economic growth in Nigeria (1980-2017). Rhema University Journal of Management & Social Sciences, 7(2), pp. 162-173.

Onyema, J. I. & Onuoha, I. (2019). Fiscal policy and economic growth in Nigeria. KIV Journal of Social Sciences, 5(3), pp. 25-34.

Oseni, I. O. & Okwu, A. T. (2020). Recession and the challenges of sustainable economic growth in Nigeria: An evaluation of the macroeconomic policies. Social and Management Sciences, 12(1), pp. 1-15.

Oseni, I. O. & Oyelade, A. O. (2023). The effects of monetary policies on economic growth in Nigeria. African Journal of Economic Review, 11(3), pp. 32-51.

Pillah, T. P. (2023). Impact of fiscal and monetary policy on the economic development of Nigeria: Empirical review. Journal of Good Governance and Sustainable Development in Africa, 7(6), pp. 1-7.

Priyadipa, A.; Anwar, K.; Darmawati, D.; Biby, S. & Irfan, D. (2022). The effect of fiscal policy on economic growth in Indonesia. Journal of Malikussaleh Public Economics, 5(3), pp. 10-29.

Remigius, A. & Blessed, N. (2023). Effect of government expenditure on the performance of small and medium scale enterprises in Nigeria. African Banking and Finance Review Journal, 1(1), pp. 1-19.

Schmidt, M. (2018). A look at fiscal and monetary policy. Investopedia. http://www.investopedia.com/contributors/265/

Ugwu, C. C.; Okwa, I. E. & Inyang, E. E. (2020). Tax incentives and investment growth: The Nigerian perspective. Journal of Economics and Business, 3(1), pp. 363-373.

Umar, H. & Murtala, K. B. (2020). Fiscal policy and economic growth in Nigeria: An ARDL approach. Global Business Review, 21(4), pp. 981-994.

Weil, D. N. (2019). Fiscal policy. Congressional Budget Office. http://www.cbo.gov/.

Downloads

Published

2024-08-30

How to Cite

Oluwayemisi, B. A.-M. ., Oladele, R. ., Oladipo, O. N., Afolabi, B. ., & Timilehin, S. A. (2024). Does Fiscal Policy Affect Economic Growth in Nigeria?. Acta Universitatis Danubius. Œconomica, 20(4), 233–250. Retrieved from https://dj.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/AUDOE/article/view/2923

Issue

Section

Financial Economics