The Dependence of Net Average Wage on

Labour Productivity in Romania

 

Cătălin Angelo Ioan[1], Gina Ioan[2]

 

Abstract: The paper studies the net average wage dependence of each part of national economy in terms of labor productivity.

Keywords: wage; productivity

JEL Classification: E24

 

1. Introduction

In this research we aim to analyze the economic performance of Romania from the perspective of the average cost of labor and productivity in the period 1995-2018.

It is analyzed the interdependence between the dynamics of the average wage and the dynamics of labor productivity on each sector of economic activity at national level: Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing and fish farming, Extractive industry, Manufacturing industry, Electricity and heat, gas and water, Construction, Trade, Hotels and restaurants, Transport, storage and communications, Financial intermediation, Real estate transactions and other services, Public administration and defense, Education, Health and social assistance, Other activities of the national economy.

An essential condition for the competitiveness of an economy both internally and externally is the interdependence between the dynamics of average wages and labor productivity, interdependence that exists both at the microeconomic and macroeconomic levels. Moreover, the interdependence between labor productivity and labor factor compensation is also of particular importance for the employee because his standard of living essentially depends on this.

During the analyzed period, Romania's economy registered periods of transition, of economic crisis, and as such, the labor productivity was not the only determining factor of the average price of the labor factor. The economic conditions that a national economy faces can also influence wages throughout the economic cycle. Although the period of the economic crisis (2008-2010) is not analyzed separately (because it is not the object of this scientific approach) we must remember the above-mentioned period, as well as the previous economic situation, in which most world economies and Romania also, recorded rates of economic growth above potential, which generated growth rates higher than the dynamics of labor productivity.

According to the microeconomic theory, the unit price of the labor factor is equal to the physical marginal product of the labor factor, multiplied by the price of the final product.

In a perfectly competitive market, where the company cannot control or influence the price, it employs units of labor factors as long as the marginal income of labor exceeds the price. In other words, the company continues to purchase additional production factor until the last unit purchased will increase the total income by the same amount as it will increase the cost, in other words the marginal income of the production factor will equal the marginal cost of the production factor.

In the literature, the interdependence between these two variables has generated over time various theoretical debates that have focused not only on economic importance but also on technical issues such as difficulties in measurement for comparison. In the production process, we must also assign a qualitative dimension to the labor factor, not only a quantitative one, that is why it is more difficult to capture in statistical analyzes the quality and efficiency of human capital.

 

2. The Primary Data Analysis

The first part of the analysis will study the evolution of the net salary by activities of the national economy, the data source being the National Institute of Statistics of Romania. Due to the regrouping, in the last years, of the data regarding the branches of the national economy, we have made weighted averages regarding the average wage.

 

Table 1. Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings per activity of the national economy – part 1

Year

Total

Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing and fish farming

Extractive industry

Manufacturing industry

Electricity and heat, gas and water

1995

211373

171328

335917

207942

317502

1996

321169

254598

487360

323337

471698

1997

632086

471532

975494

628815

1055735

1998

1042274

767875

1679799

967713

1835405

1999

1522878

1168527

2364368

1388580

2396737

2000

2139138

1538239

3676379

1968253

3406634

Data source: insse.ro

The values for the period 1995-2004 are not denominated, for the period 2005-2018 the conversion being from 1 to 10000

 

Table 2. Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings per activity of the national economy – part 2

Year

Construction

Trade

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

1995

224855

168777

145403

255562

389521

1996

332082

250282

216496

395549

659092

1997

617101

459497

412334

799065

1482926

1998

986083

717877

663357

1318573

2763051

1999

1399927

1066958

941455

1976860

3995188

2000

1861422

1502294

1381068

2811942

5258061

2001

2620690

2218504

2109541

4050363

7418638

2002

3257856

2705850

2434081

5230115

9950653

2003

4236699

3639758

3260266

6618419

12464690

2004

5256697

4386558

4110215

7827833

15624873

2005

628

575

455

934

2065

2006

710

651

534

1036

2260

2007

881

823

651

1223

2617

2008

1162

1042

773

1612

3205

2009

1069

1047

799

1736

3109

2010

1125

1166

786

1828

3200

2011

1247

1227

841

1910

3435

2012

1193

1305

850

1973

3587

2013

1191

1293

898

2006

3645

2014

1240

1412

958

2173

3708

2015

1422

1588

1080

2457

4004

2016

1525

1736

1232

2738

4061

2017

1695

2017

1424

3004

4310

2018

1924

2228

1565

3299

4532

Data source: insse. ro

The values for the period 1995-2004 are not denominated, for the period 2005-2018 the conversion being from 1 to 10000

Table 3. Monthly Average Net Nominal Nominal Earnings per Activity of the National Economy – Part 3

Year

Real estate transactions and other services

Public administration and defense

Education

Health and social assistance

Other activities of the national economy

1995

226271

225914

194772

161252

155885

1996

340445

304649

275597

229743

253358

1997

681983

608716

539919

463440

522895

1998

1062108

1373164

1051738

850351

864561

1999

1520096

2143292

1415535

1506768

1326901

2000

2159136

3044988

2046107

1768105

1899075

2001

2992819

4194757

2882399

2624161

2590811

2002

3816358

5115510

3801292

3194582

3430037

2003

4685301

6922734

4768977

4126723

4278952

2004

5850682

8451531

6481023

5206553

5375123

2005

720

1163

829

676

667

2006

831

1575

1067

823

743

2007

1106

1997

1175

948

883

2008

1235

2411

1538

1266

922

2009

1300

2159

1596

1342

957

2010

1348

1968

1380

1226

907

2011

1408

1909

1316

1210

922

2012

1477

2102

1371

1315

988

2013

1582

2420

1533

1456

1060

2014

1691

2754

1733

1496

1176

2015

1904

2893

1886

1656

1326

2016

2119

3084

2035

2065

1454

2017

2313

3842

2387

2672

1709

2018

2580

4407

2821

3388

1929

Data source: insse.ro

 The values for the period 1995-2004 are not denominated, for the period 2005-2018 the conversion being from 1 to 10000

On the other hand, between 1995 and 2018, the cumulative CPI (relative to the reference year 2000) was:

Table 4. The Cumulative CPI (Relative to the Reference Year 2000)

Year

Cumulative CPI

Year

Cumulative CPI

Year

Cumulative CPI

1995

0. 082787

2003

1. 75136

2011

2. 880364

1996

0. 129893

2004

1. 914236

2012

3. 022942

1997

0. 32655

2005

2. 07886

2013

3. 069798

1998

0. 459129

2006

2. 180101

2014

3. 095277

1999

0. 710732

2007

2. 323334

2015

3. 066491

2000

1

2008

2. 469704

2016

3. 049932

2001

1. 303

2009

2. 586768

2017

3. 15119

2002

1. 534934

2010

2. 792674

2018

3. 254234

Data source: insse. ro and own calculations

Denominating the data in tables 1-3 and deflating at the level of 2000, we have:



 

Table 5. Monthly Average Net Nominal Nominal Earnings per Activity of the National Economy (Lei 2000) – Part 1

Year

Total

Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing and fish farming

Extractive industry

Manufacturing industry

Electricity and heat, gas and water

1995

254

205

411

254

387

1996

246

192

377

246

362

1997

193

144

300

193

325

1998

227

168

366

211

401

1999

214

165

332

196

338

2000

214

154

368

197

341

2001

232

166

402

210

371

2002

247

179

436

221

382

2003

276

197

468

249

429

2004

313

234

509

284

471

2005

359

237

599

314

566

2006

397

272

695

335

618

2007

448

309

776

374

679

2008

530

370

926

425

663

2009

526

389

912

443

665

2010

498

367

872

443

638

2011

501

362

895

460

647

2012

499

362

922

461

639

2013

514

384

959

478

624

2014

548

410

1053

510

650

2015

606

447

1126

556

662

2016

671

531

1118

617

714

2017

742

590

1164

668

760

2018

812

657

1164

720

824

 

Table 6. Monthly Average Net Nominal Nominal Earnings per Activity of the National Economy (Lei 2000) – Part 2

Year

Construction

Trade

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

1995

266

205

181

314

471

1996

254

192

169

308

508

1997

190

141

126

245

453

1998

216

157

144

288

601

1999

197

151

132

279

563

2000

186

150

138

281

526

2001

201

170

162

311

569

2002

212

177

158

341

648

2003

242

208

186

378

711

2004

275

229

215

409

816

2005

302

277

219

449

993

2006

326

299

245

475

1037

2007

379

354

280

526

1126

2008

471

422

313

653

1298

2009

413

405

309

671

1202

2010

403

418

281

655

1146

2011

433

426

292

663

1193

2012

395

432

281

653

1187

2013

388

421

293

653

1187

2014

401

456

310

702

1198

2015

464

518

352

801

1306

2016

500

569

404

898

1332

2017

538

640

452

953

1368

2018

591

685

481

1014

1393

Table 7. Monthly Average Net Nominal Nominal Earnings per Activity of the National Economy (Lei 2000) – Part 3

Year

Real estate transactions and other services

Public administration and defense

Education

Health and social assistance

Other activities of the national economy

1995

278

278

230

193

193

1996

262

231

216

177

192

1997

208

187

165

141

159

1998

231

298

229

185

187

1999

214

301

200

212

187

2000

216

304

205

177

190

2001

229

322

221

201

199

2002

249

334

248

208

223

2003

268

395

272

236

244

2004

306

441

339

272

281

2005

346

559

399

325

321

2006

381

722

489

378

341

2007

476

860

506

408

380

2008

500

976

623

513

373

2009

503

835

617

519

370

2010

483

705

494

439

325

2011

489

663

457

420

320

2012

489

695

454

435

327

2013

515

788

499

474

345

2014

546

890

560

483

380

2015

621

943

615

540

432

2016

695

1011

667

677

477

2017

734

1219

757

848

542

2018

793

1354

867

1041

593

The second part of the analysis will study the evolution of labor productivity by activities of the national economy, the data source being also the National Institute of Statistics of Romania. Due to the regrouping, in the last years, of the data regarding the branches of the national economy, we extrapolated the data to the related branches.

Table 8. Labor Productivity by Activities of the National Economy – Part 1

Year

Total

Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing and fish farming

Extractive industry

Manufacturing industry

Electricity and heat, gas and water

1995

621. 2

280. 4

780. 9

780. 9

780. 9

1996

964. 6

434. 1

1215. 8

1215. 8

1215. 8

1997

2104. 7

947. 7

2632. 1

2632. 1

2632. 1

1998

3036. 8

1118. 1

3710. 8

3710. 8

3710. 8

1999

4552. 1

1435. 9

5546. 8

5546. 8

5546. 8

2000

6779. 6

1815

8562. 4

8562. 4

8562. 4

2001

9993. 3

3267. 7

13370. 6

13370. 6

13370. 6

2002

14365. 5

5068. 8

16599. 7

16599. 7

16599. 7

2003

17893. 5

6467. 5

20546. 8

20546. 8

20546. 8

2004

23889. 9

10066. 3

27066. 6

27066. 6

27066. 6

2005

27774. 5

7829. 5

33092. 6

33092. 6

33092. 6

2006

32634. 5

8892. 9

38540. 6

38540. 6

38540. 6

2007

39987. 6

7794. 5

47683. 6

47683. 6

47683. 6

2008

51740. 8

11697. 5

65214. 3

65214. 3

65214. 3

2009

53530. 8

11505. 8

71318. 8

71318. 8

71318. 8

2010

54027. 9

9360. 9

89068. 8

89068. 8

89068. 8

2011

57691. 4

13596. 5

101461. 6

101461. 6

101461. 6

2012

60334. 4

10475. 9

84137. 7

84137. 7

84137. 7

2013

65409. 5

13187. 2

90555. 7

90555. 7

90555. 7

2014

68537. 9

12485. 2

92346. 2

92346. 2

92346. 2

2015

73481. 5

13250

96221. 6

96221. 6

96221. 6

2016

81424. 1

15465. 4

100228

100228

100228

2017

89980. 8

18356. 8

107780

107780

107780

2018

99494. 6

20973. 6

113821. 9

113821. 9

113821. 9

Data source: insse.ro

 

Table 9. Labor Productivity by Activities of the National Economy – Part 2

Year

Construction

Trade

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

1995

765. 8

732. 7

732. 7

732. 7

5048. 4

1996

1225. 5

1275

1275

1275

5052. 3

1997

2451. 4

2946. 1

2946. 1

2946. 1

7791

1998

3648. 8

4576. 3

4576. 3

4576. 3

13929. 4

1999

5349. 3

6805. 7

6805. 7

6805. 7

22406. 7

2000

7992. 2

9490. 6

9490. 6

9490. 6

35909. 1

2001

12358. 5

12596. 2

12596. 2

12596. 2

47659. 7

2002

17429

15706. 3

15706. 3

15706. 3

44167. 4

2003

22575. 8

21628. 2

21628. 2

21628. 2

41164. 5

2004

32864

29432. 9

29432. 9

29432. 9

68423. 2

2005

39400. 1

36479. 2

36479. 2

36479. 2

72381. 1

2006

48694. 1

41387. 2

41387. 2

41387. 2

70981. 9

2007

59566. 7

49731. 6

49731. 6

49731. 6

89876. 7

2008

83757. 6

56885. 5

56885. 5

56885. 5

108531. 7

2009

82050

58515. 2

58515. 2

58515. 2

95386. 1

2010

64382. 2

38798. 2

38798. 2

38798. 2

102489. 6

2011

56294. 4

30488. 9

30488. 9

30488. 9

118913. 9

2012

69524

58526. 6

58526. 6

58526. 6

144587. 6

2013

70418. 6

53577. 1

53577. 1

53577. 1

218204

2014

65777. 6

58698. 9

58698. 9

58698. 9

217883. 5

2015

66181. 7

67577. 9

67577. 9

67577. 9

223058. 2

2016

68631. 1

73839. 2

73839. 2

73839. 2

239482. 5

2017

63544. 5

83322

83322

83322

184545. 3

2018

77265. 7

87414. 1

87414. 1

87414. 1

215915. 1

Data source: insse. ro

 

Table 10. Labor Productivity by Activities of the National Economy – Part 3

Year

Real estate transactions and other services

Public administration and defense

Education

Health and social assistance

Other activities of the national economy

1995

14494. 8

517. 5

517. 5

517. 5

496. 2

1996

19976. 9

769. 9

769. 9

769. 9

637

1997

40526. 4

1833. 9

1833. 9

1833. 9

1739. 2

1998

62557. 5

2929. 2

2929. 2

2929. 2

2925. 8

1999

95371. 9

5945. 4

5945. 4

5945. 4

5134. 7

2000

141432

9733. 3

9733. 3

9733. 3

8819

2001

193082. 4

13277

13277

13277

9773. 5

2002

254431. 4

17404. 6

17404. 6

17404. 6

13329

2003

252674. 4

21472. 4

21472. 4

21472. 4

17379

2004

516977. 6

19069. 1

19069. 1

19069. 1

28329. 7

2005

822650. 2

24528

24528

24528

31797. 4

2006

823925. 2

27423. 1

27423. 1

27423. 1

41516

2007

1098839

31650. 6

31650. 6

31650. 6

49875

2008

1152582

42612. 9

42612. 9

42612. 9

63057. 2

2009

1510202. 8

39652. 3

39652. 3

39652. 3

78662. 8

2010

1656363

56791. 6

56791. 6

56791. 6

76745. 1

2011

1697060. 2

51569. 9

51569. 9

51569. 9

96200. 9

2012

1918197. 6

58043. 3

58043. 3

58043. 3

83594. 2

2013

2002011. 9

62309. 6

62309. 6

62309. 6

74960. 5

2014

1822563. 8

73339. 6

73339. 6

73339. 6

80689. 9

2015

1905849. 1

60150. 2

60150. 2

60150. 2

96205. 5

2016

2243946. 4

75366. 7

75366. 7

75366. 7

90941. 3

2017

2993887

89255. 5

89255. 5

89255. 5

108984. 5

2018

2783578. 1

108936. 3

108936. 3

108936. 3

128630. 8

Data source: insse.ro

Denominating the data in tables 8-10 and deflating at the level of 2000, we obtain (dividing at 12 months for further comparability):

 

Table 11. Monthly Labor Productivity by Activities of the National Economy (Lei 2000) – Part 1

Year

Total

Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing and fish farming

Extractive industry

Manufacturing industry

Electricity and heat, gas and water

1995

625

282

786

786

786

1996

619

279

780

780

780

1997

537

242

672

672

672

1998

551

203

674

674

674

1999

534

168

650

650

650

2000

565

151

714

714

714

2001

639

209

855

855

855

2002

780

275

901

901

901

2003

851

308

978

978

978

2004

1040

438

1178

1178

1178

2005

1113

314

1327

1327

1327

2006

1247

340

1473

1473

1473

2007

1434

280

1710

1710

1710

2008

1746

395

2201

2201

2201

2009

1725

371

2298

2298

2298

2010

1612

279

2658

2658

2658

2011

1669

393

2935

2935

2935

2012

1663

289

2319

2319

2319

2013

1776

358

2458

2458

2458

2014

1845

336

2486

2486

2486

2015

1997

360

2615

2615

2615

2016

2225

423

2739

2739

2739

2017

2380

485

2850

2850

2850

2018

2548

537

2915

2915

2915

 

Table 12. Monthly Labor Productivity by Activities of the National Economy (Lei 2000) – Part 2

Year

Construction

Trade

Hotels and restaurants

Transport, storage and communications

Financial intermediation

1995

771

738

738

738

5082

1996

786

818

818

818

3241

1997

626

752

752

752

1988

1998

662

831

831

831

2528

1999

627

798

798

798

2627

2000

666

791

791

791

2992

2001

790

806

806

806

3048

2002

946

853

853

853

2398

2003

1074

1029

1029

1029

1959

2004

1431

1281

1281

1281

2979

2005

1579

1462

1462

1462

2902

2006

1861

1582

1582

1582

2713

2007

2137

1784

1784

1784

3224

2008

2826

1919

1919

1919

3662

2009

2643

1885

1885

1885

3073

2010

1921

1158

1158

1158

3058

2011

1629

882

882

882

3440

2012

1917

1613

1613

1613

3986

2013

1912

1454

1454

1454

5923

2014

1771

1580

1580

1580

5866

2015

1799

1837

1837

1837

6062

2016

1875

2018

2018

2018

6543

2017

1680

2203

2203

2203

4880

2018

1979

2239

2239

2239

5529

 

 

Table 13. Monthly Labor Productivity by Activities of the National Economy (Lei 2000) – Part 3

Year

Real estate transactions and other services

Public administration and defense

Education

Health and social assistance

Other activities of the national economy

1995

14591

521

521

521

500

1996

12816

494

494

494

409

1997

10342

468

468

468

444

1998

11354

532

532

532

531

1999

11182

697

697

697

602

2000

11786

811

811

811

735

2001

12349

849

849

849

625

2002

13813

945

945

945

724

2003

12023

1022

1022

1022

827

2004

22506

830

830

830

1233

2005

32977

983

983

983

1275

2006

31494

1048

1048

1048

1587

2007

39413

1135

1135

1135

1789

2008

38891

1438

1438

1438

2128

2009

48652

1277

1277

1277

2534

2010

49426

1695

1695

1695

2290

2011

49099

1492

1492

1492

2783

2012

52879

1600

1600

1600

2304

2013

54347

1692

1692

1692

2035

2014

49068

1975

1975

1975

2172

2015

51792

1635

1635

1635

2614

2016

61311

2059

2059

2059

2485

2017

79173

2360

2360

2360

2882

2018

71281

2790

2790

2790

3294

 

3. The Analysis of Total Data

By the tables 5 and 11 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:















Figure 1.

From figure 1, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity experienced a trend of 3. 62 times higher than that of the average net wage. This gap is explained by the massive reinvestment of the profit in technology and re-technology as well as in the modernization of production capacities.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows an inconsistent evolution, especially with regard to the latter.



Figure 2.

Between 1996 and 1998, highest fluctuations in both indicators were recorded. Due to the beginning of the structural transformations of the economy, both the labor productivity and the average wage decreased massively in 1997. In 1998, due to trade union pressures, the average wage increased by 17. 6% while the labor productivity with only 2. 6% which led at an inflationary peak of 54. 8% in 1999. If, after this period, the labor productivity curve has generally been well above the average wage, starting with 2006 they have gone somewhat in parallel.

In what follows we will note:

·  W - Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings;

·  LP - Labor productivity

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a high dependence (with R2=0. 988), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 279873731×LP+49. 54689062

shows, in a percentage of 98. 8% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 14.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 994191858

R Square

0. 988417451

Adjusted R Square

0. 987890971

Standard Error

19. 95507116

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

747593. 4513

747593. 4513

1877. 409136

8. 51058E-23

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Residual

22

8760. 507028

398. 2048649

Total

23

756353. 9583

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

49. 54689062

9. 459207614

5. 237953604

2. 96671E-05

29. 9296947

69. 16408653

X Variable 1

0. 279873731

0. 006459259

43. 32907956

8. 51058E-23

0. 266478049

0. 293269414

 

4. The Analysis of Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry, Fishing and Fish Farming

By the tables 5 and 11 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 3.

From figure 3, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Agriculture, hunting, forestry, fishing and fish farming has experienced two great periods. During 1995-2008 it was well above the average net salary, re-technologization, especially of agriculture being absolutely necessary to increase competitiveness especially at export. After 2009, we notice an almost constant gap in favor of the net salary. On the other hand, the close values of the two indicators are a worrying factor, showing that practically all the profits of the companies go in the salary direction which will lead, in the future, to serious malfunctions.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows an inconsistent evolution, especially with regard to the latter.

F igure 4.



Between 1996 and 2000, the relative evolution of productivity was negative, due to the beginning of the structural transformations of the economy. After a relatively stable period (2000-2004), we can see a somewhat chaotic period in the variation of labor productivity. If any increase is registered in one year, immediately in the following year it is at (relative) negative levels of concern. It is very possible that this is also due to the poor irrigation systems in agriculture, the alternation of the dry years with the rainy ones creating serious malfunctions.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a moderate dependence (with R2=0. 687), which means that the regression relation:

W=1. 257198218×LP-92. 01184398

shows, in a percentage of 68. 7% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

 

Table 15.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 829013168

R Square

0. 687262833

Adjusted R Square

0. 673047507

Standard Error

82. 73520835

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

330938. 1016

330938. 1016

48. 34661157

5. 57575E-07

Residual

22

150592. 5234

6845. 1147

Total

23

481530. 625

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 85. 0%

Upper 85. 0%

Intercept

-92. 01184398

60. 5264887

-1. 52019134

0. 142705711

-182. 2943416

-1. 7293464

X Variable 1

1. 257198218

0. 180809288

6. 95317277

5. 57575E-07

0. 987499538

1. 526896899

Worrying is the trend 1. 257 that shows an evolution of wages well above that of labor productivity.

 

5. The Analysis of Extractive Industry

By the tables 5 and 11 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 5.

From figure 5, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Extractive industry has, in general, a trend 2. 79 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a parallel evolution, except for a few periods: 2012, 2014, 2016.



Figure 6.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 943), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 340443783×LP+130. 5520227

shows, in a percentage of 94. 3% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 16.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 970995274

R Square

0. 942831821

Adjusted R Square

0. 940233268

Standard Error

74. 85236178

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

2032888. 56

2032888. 56

362. 8294713

3. 68286E-15

Residual

22

123263. 2734

5602. 876063

Total

23

2156151. 833

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

130. 5520227

34. 25702496

3. 810956231

0. 000955343

59. 50730129

201. 5967442

 

X Variable 1

0. 340443783

0. 017872863

19. 04808314

3. 68286E-15

0. 303377734

0. 377509833

 

6. The Analysis of Manufacturing Industry

By the tables 5 and 11 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was





Figure 7.

From figure 7, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Manufacturing industry has, in general, a trend 5. 47 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a parallel evolution.



F igure 8.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 890), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 172538718×LP+81. 71816192

shows, in a percentage of 89. 0% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 17.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 943408772

R Square

0. 890020111

Adjusted R Square

0. 885021025

Standard Error

54. 1555952

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

522150. 7315

522150. 7315

178. 0365722

5. 05046E-12

Residual

22

64522. 22681

2932. 828492

Total

23

586672. 9583

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

81. 71816192

24. 78491704

3. 297092413

0. 003284649

30. 31738999

133. 1189339

X Variable 1

0. 172538718

0. 012930995

13. 3430346

5. 05046E-12

0. 145721475

0. 199355961

 

7. The Analysis of Electricity and Heat, Gas and Water

By the tables 5 and 11 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:





Figure 9.

From figure 9, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Electricity and heat, gas and water has, in general, a trend 5. 77 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows an inverse evolution, like in figure 10.

F igure 10.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 868), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 165110694×LP+264. 9192713

shows, in a percentage of 86. 8% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 18.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 93146579

R Square

0. 867628517

Adjusted R Square

0. 861611632

Standard Error

57. 58449299

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

478159. 909

478159. 909

144. 1989392

3. 92324E-11

Residual

22

72951. 42432

3315. 973833

Total

23

551111. 3333

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

264. 9192713

26. 35419066

10. 05226359

1. 09783E-09

210. 2640251

319. 5745176

X Variable 1

0. 165110694

0. 01374973

12. 00828627

3. 92324E-11

0. 136595499

0. 193625889

 

8. The Analysis of Construction

By the tables 6 and 12 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 11.

From figure 11, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Construction has, in general, a trend 4. 41 times higher than that of net wages which leads, over time, to a widening gap between productivity and wage level.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a direct evolution (except few years), like in figure 12.

F igure 12.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a moderate dependence (with R2=0. 645), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 14934407×LP+120. 0147132

shows, in a percentage of 64. 5% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

 

Table 19.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 802860775

R Square

0. 644585424

Adjusted R Square

0. 628430216

Standard Error

73. 52891426

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

215716. 9312

215716. 9312

39. 89954353

2. 34283E-06

Residual

22

118943. 0271

5406. 501232

Total

23

334659. 9583

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

120. 0147132

38. 42641989

3. 123234316

0. 00494863

40. 32319595

199. 7062306

X Variable 1

0. 14934407

0. 023643078

6. 316608547

2. 34283E-06

0. 100311327

0. 198376814

 

9. The Analysis of Trade

By the tables 6 and 12 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 13.

From figure 13, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Trade has, in general, a trend 2. 75 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a direct evolution (except few years – 2010, 2012), like in figure 14. This fact is explained by the fact that Trade has a greater dynamic than the other sectors, the bonus system (especially in the case of small companies) better adapting the wage level to that of labor productivity.

F igure 14.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a moderate dependence (with R2=0. 761), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 280751991×LP-40. 4141282

shows, in a percentage of 76. 1% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 20.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 872464852

R Square

0. 761194918

Adjusted R Square

0. 750340141

Standard Error

82. 16986216

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

473478. 3359

473478. 3359

70. 12534253

2. 74163E-08

Residual

22

148541. 4975

6751. 886248

Total

23

622019. 8333

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 58. 0%

Upper 58. 0%

Intercept

-40. 4141282

48. 15446783

-0. 839260198

0. 410350707

-79. 98818334

-0. 84007306

X Variable 1

0. 280751991

0. 033526278

8. 374087564

2. 74163E-08

0. 253199598

0. 308304383

 

10. The Analysis of Hotels and Restaurants

By the tables 6 and 12 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 15.

From figure 15, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Hotels and restaurants has, in general, a trend 4. 61 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a direct evolution (except few years – 2011, 2013), like in figure 16.











F igure 16.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a moderate dependence (with R2=0. 815), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 177470743×LP+16. 18282905

shows, in a percentage of 81. 5% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 21.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 902936049

R Square

0. 815293509

Adjusted R Square

0. 80689776

Standard Error

44. 13943037

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

189194. 2601

189194. 2601

97. 10788783

1. 57553E-09

Residual

22

42862. 36489

1948. 289313

Total

23

232056. 625

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 46. 0%

Upper 46. 0%

Intercept

16. 18282905

25. 86727936

0. 625610016

0. 53800729

0. 079951838

32. 28570627

X Variable 1

0. 177470743

0. 018009411

9. 854333455

1. 57553E-09

0. 166259539

0. 188681946

 

11. The Analysis of Transport, Storage and Communications

By the tables 6 and 12 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

 

Figure 17.

From figure 17, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Transport, storage and communications has, in general, a trend 1. 93 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a direct evolution (except 2012), like in figure 18.

F igure 18.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a moderate dependence (with R2=0. 763), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 396908043×LP+3. 946267277

shows, in a percentage of 76. 3% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 22.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 87347827

R Square

0. 762964288

Adjusted R Square

0. 752189938

Standard Error

115. 6007246

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

946311. 7277

946311. 7277

70. 81301892

2. 52365E-08

Residual

22

293997. 6056

13363. 52753

Total

23

1240309. 333

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 4. 0%

Upper 4. 0%

Intercept

3. 946267277

67. 74614472

0. 058250802

0. 954074721

0. 509638094

7. 38289646

X Variable 1

0. 396908043

0. 047166467

8. 415047173

2. 52365E-08

0. 39451538

0. 399300705

On the other hand, the high value of P-value shows that the null hypothesis is accepted with a probability greater than 0. 95.

 

12. The Analysis of Financial Intermediation

By the tables 6 and 12 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 19.

From figure 19, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding. Financial intermediation has, in general, a trend 2. 97 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a strange evolution, like in figure 20. If there were periods when the rate of labor productivity was much higher than that of wages (1999-2001, 2010-2014), there have been, paradoxically, periods in which the rate of labor productivity was much lower than that of wages (2001-2003, 2005-2006, 2016-2017).





Figure 20.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a lower dependence (with R2=0. 365), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 145198943×LP+408. 634135

shows, only in a percentage of 36. 5% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 23.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 603946193

R Square

0. 364751004

Adjusted R Square

0. 33587605

Standard Error

272. 6510746

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

939051. 9467

939051. 9467

12. 63208938

0. 001777154

Residual

22

1635449. 387

74338. 60848

Total

23

2574501. 333

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

408. 634135

162. 5203314

2. 514357014

0. 019737811

71. 58759681

745. 6806732

X Variable 1

0. 145198943

0. 040853179

3. 554165075

0. 001777154

0. 060474635

0. 229923251

 

13. The Analysis of Real Estate Transactions and other Services

By the tables 7 and 13 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 21.

From figure 21, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Real estate transactions and other services has, in general, a trend 122 times (!) higher than that of net wages.

This may seem paradoxical, but real estate speculation, in particular from 2005-2012, has led to exaggerated high prices, while the level of wages has somewhat followed its natural course.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a strange evolution, like in figure 22.

F igure 22.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 944), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 008045779×LP+135. 5378544

shows, only in a percentage of 94. 4% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

 

Table 24.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 971693326

R Square

0. 94418792

Adjusted R Square

0. 941651007

Standard Error

42. 94974481

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

686553. 0273

686553. 0273

372. 1798966

2. 82626E-15

Residual

22

40582. 97275

1844. 680579

Total

23

727136

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

135. 5378544

17. 06556364

7. 942184462

6. 65722E-08

100. 1460415

170. 9296672

X Variable 1

0. 008045779

0. 000417053

19. 29196456

2. 82626E-15

0. 007180863

0. 008910694

 

14. The Analysis of Public Administration and Defense

By the tables 7 and 13 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 23.

From figure 23, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Public administration and defense has, in general, a trend 1. 93 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows a strange evolution, like in figure 24.

There were thus periods in which the wage variation increased unjustifiably much relative to that of labor productivity (1998, 2003-2007, 2013, 2015) and reverse in 1999, 2010.











F igure 24.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 856), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 493207206×LP+14. 2978219

shows, only in a percentage of 85. 6 % the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 25.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 925160843

R Square

0. 855922585

Adjusted R Square

0. 849373612

Standard Error

128. 5134433

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

2158531. 446

2158531. 446

130. 6956882

1. 00261E-10

Residual

22

363345. 5125

16515. 70511

Total

23

2521876. 958

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 18. 0%

Upper 18. 0%

Intercept

14. 2978219

60. 53238953

0. 236201181

0. 815461762

0. 358264728

28. 23737908

X Variable 1

0. 493207206

0. 043141852

11. 43222149

1. 00261E-10

0. 483272387

0. 503142024

On the other hand, the high value of P-value shows that the null hypothesis is accepted with a probability greater than 0. 81.

 

15. The Analysis of Education

By the tables 7 and 13 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

























F igure 25.

From figure 25, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Education has, in general, a trend 3. 24 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows an inverse evolution, like in figure 26.

There were thus periods in which the wage variation increased unjustifiably much relative to that of labor productivity (1998, 2003-2007, 2013, 2015) and reverse in 1997, 1999, 2010.





















F igure 26.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 836), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 292390152×LP+60. 64765257

shows, only in a percentage of 83. 6% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 26.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 914158173

R Square

0. 835685164

Adjusted R Square

0. 828216308

Standard Error

82. 34139495

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

758621. 3079

758621. 3079

111. 8893102

4. 30254E-10

Residual

22

149162. 3171

6780. 105322

Total

23

907783. 625

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 86. 0%

Upper 86. 0%

Intercept

60. 64765257

38. 78443582

1. 563711094

0. 132156944

1. 265018664

120. 0302865

X Variable 1

0. 292390152

0. 027641935

10. 57777435

4. 30254E-10

0. 250067739

0. 334712565

 

16. The Analysis of Health and Social Assistance

By the tables 7 and 13 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

























F igure 27.

From figure 27, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding Health and social assistance has, in general, a trend 2. 94 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows an inverse evolution, like in figure 28.

There were thus periods in which the wage variation increased unjustifiably much relative to that of labor productivity (1998, 2003-2007, 2013, 2015) and reverse in 1997, 1999-2000, 2010.



F igure 28.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 897), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 343371468×LP-38. 27655487

shows, only in a percentage of 89. 7% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 27.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 946913308

R Square

0. 896644813

Adjusted R Square

0. 89194685

Standard Error

74. 0386617

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

1046231. 918

1046231. 918

190. 8582095

2. 54142E-12

Residual

22

120597. 9154

5481. 723427

Total

23

1166829. 833

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 71. 0%

Upper 71. 0%

Intercept

-38. 27655487

34. 87368321

-1. 097577065

0. 284257508

-76. 08783986

-0. 46526989

X Variable 1

0. 343371468

0. 024854715

13. 81514421

2. 54142E-12

0. 316423104

0. 370319832

 

17. The Analysis of Other Activities of the National Economy

By the tables 7 and 13 we get that the evolution of Monthly average net nominal nominal earnings and Labor productivity during 1995-2018 was:

F igure 29.

From figure 25, it can be seen that, at a general level, the evolution of labor productivity regarding other activities of the national economy has, in general, a trend 8. 17 times higher than that of net wages.

On the other hand, the study of the relative evolution of both the average net wage and productivity shows an inverse evolution, like in figure 30.

There were thus periods in which the wage variation increased unjustifiably much relative to that of labor productivity (2012-2014), but, in general, they were mute under the variation of labor productivity.



Figure 30.

The analysis of the dependence of the average net wage on labor productivity reveals a higher dependence (with R2=0. 831), which means that the regression relation:

W=0. 115245092×LP+129. 552497

shows, only in a percentage of 83. 1% the dependence of the average net wage of productivity.

Table 28.

SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics

Multiple R

0. 911806017

R Square

0. 831390213

Adjusted R Square

0. 823726132

Standard Error

49. 23616218

Observations

24

ANOVA

 

df

SS

MS

F

Significance F

Regression

1

262974. 2323

262974. 2323

108. 4787841

5. 72798E-10

Residual

22

53332. 39266

2424. 199667

Total

23

316306. 625

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Standard Error

t Stat

P-value

Lower 95%

Upper 95%

Intercept

129. 552497

20. 51913065

6. 313742001

2. 35829E-06

86. 99842459

172. 1065695

X Variable 1

0. 115245092

0. 011064965

10. 41531488

5. 72798E-10

0. 09229776

0. 138192425

 

References

Ioan C. A. (2019). The chance - between finite and infinite. Probability Theory and Statistics. Revised and added edition. Galati: Zigotto Publishing House.

Ioan G. & Ioan C. A. (2017). Macroeconomics. Galati: Zigotto Publishing House.

www. insse. ro



[1] Danubius University of Galati, Department of Economics, Romania, Corresponding autor: catalin_angelo_ioan@univ-danubius.ro.

[2] Danubius University of Galati, Department of Economics, Romania, E-mail: ginaioan@univ-danubius.ro.