Impact of Ideological Bias on Intelligence Analysis

Abstract

This paper intends to explore the consequences of considering that Intelligence support is a communication process between the analyst and the decision-maker. This is important when working to identify ways to improve the quality of intelligence analysis. There are multiple studies on communication process and general analysis to build upon, but there are few interdisciplinary approaches between psychology and intelligence theory. Current approach uses a systemic view of the intelligence cycle as open system and applies psychological concepts and security/analytical requirements. Observation of intelligence failures and intelligence analysis experience, as methods employed in systemic logic, lead to relevant conclusions regarding the main factors to be considered for improving intelligence analysis. Main results of this approach point to the importance of understanding the psychological determinants of the key participants in Intelligence support. The implications of controlling the factors able to corrupt intelligence analysis have practical value for the work of researchers and practitioners in intelligence. This approach opens avenues for better understanding analytical errors and for identifying ways to preserve the quality of Intelligence support, at both individual and institutional levels. Conclusions of such research may extend to the quality of public debates in the media.