Miscellaneous
Abstract
The paper deals to the idea of supporting Moldova’s adhering to the EU as soon as possible.
In order to have a scientific approach of this process, the analysis is focused on four representative
economic indicators (GDP growth rate, unemployment and inflation rates and public debt). The
comparative analysis between EU average, Bulgaria, Romania and Moldova covers 2009-2015. It is
coupled with the regression analysis, in order to quantify the disparities between the above four
economic entities. The intermediate results of the analysis in the paper support the cluster approach for
the four economies. A distinct part of the analysis is the use of forecasting procedures for all four
economic indicators, in order to highlight the possibility of decreasing the economic disparities between
Moldova and the other three economies at the end of 2020. The main conclusion of the paper is that
Moldova is not able to achieve the EU average economic development even in 2020. This is why a
political decision can be change this unoptimistic conclusion. The analysis in the paper is supported by
the latest official statistic data, pertinent tables and diagrams.
References
Moldova/. Ziarul Financiar/, 18.07.
European Commission (2010). Europe 2020. A strategy for smart, sustainable and inclusive growth.
COM(2010) 2020 final, Brussels.
European Commission (2014). European Economic Forecast – Winter. Unit Communication, Brussels.
International Monetary Fund (2014). World Economic Outlook Database. New York, 07.10.
National Statistical Bureau of Moldova (2014). Quarterly Statistical Bulletin (3/4). Chisinau.
Piontkivsky, R. & Chistruga, M. (2014). Moldova. Prognoza economică actualizată/. Retrieved from
www.worldbank.org/moldova date: 02.10.2014.
World Bank (2014). Country and region specific forecasts and data. Retrieved from
http://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/global-economic-prospects/data, date: 24.12.2014.
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